Tag Archives: El Niño-Southern Oscillation

Natural variation and the influence on global temperature

2021 was another warm year globally – consistent with ongoing warming from greenhouse gases. The global average surface temperature in 2021 was 0.76 ± 0.04 °C above the 1961-1990 average according to the Met Office and University of East Anglia’s … Continue reading

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Multiple drivers create challenges for forecasting weather direction

How times change. This time last year, we were in the early days of a month which went on to become the wettest February for the UK in a series stretching back to 1862. Storms Ciara, Dennis and Jorge, which … Continue reading

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How will La Nina affect our winter weather?

La Niña is now present in the tropical Pacific and forecasters are suggesting these conditions will continue throughout the winter months.   La Niña is one of the three phases of the phenomenon known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, El Niño – the warm phase, La Niña – the cool phase and lastly the neutral phase. During La Niña … Continue reading

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A weak El Niño is likely

Consensus is growing among scientists from a range of climate centres across the world that a weak El Niño is likely to occur during the coming northern hemisphere winter. Professor Adam Scaife is the head of long-term to decadal climate … Continue reading

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Another El Niño on the way?

In the waters of the far-eastern equatorial Pacific – close to the South American coast – sea-surface temperatures are beginning to rise, prompting some climate scientists to believe the world could be heading for another El Niño in close succession … Continue reading

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A tour of global meteorology in 50, 30-second topics

Every day there will be an article published somewhere in the world about life-threatening weather or a changing global climate. We’re not short of news content, occasionally spiced with a liberal dose of hyperbole. However, until now there have been … Continue reading

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What are the prospects for the weather in the coming winter?

Anyone who has read the newspapers lately can’t have failed to notice this winter’s weather is in the headlines. Justification for claims of a ‘big freeze’ has come from sources as diverse as the plucky Bewick Swan settling into the … Continue reading

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El Niño and its impact on global weather

Forecast centres around the world have now declared that an El Niño, the most powerful fluctuation in our climate system, has begun in the tropical Pacific. For more than a year, scientists have been talking of an increased risk of … Continue reading

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Does the jet stream affect hurricanes?

Many news and weather articles, including our own blog, have reported recently that the UK’s wet summer is caused by the jet stream being situated further south than usual for this time of year. However, some have questioned whether there … Continue reading

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Met Office in the Media: 26 January 2010

La Niña and its continuing impact on the worlds weather and its impacts elsewhere continues to be of interest. The Telegraph reported that La Niña is a danger to the economic recovery in which Dr Rob Allen provided some detail … Continue reading

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