Tag Archives: El Nino

Multiple drivers create challenges for forecasting weather direction

How times change. This time last year, we were in the early days of a month which went on to become the wettest February for the UK in a series stretching back to 1862. Storms Ciara, Dennis and Jorge, which … Continue reading

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How will La Nina affect our winter weather?

La Niña is now present in the tropical Pacific and forecasters are suggesting these conditions will continue throughout the winter months.   La Niña is one of the three phases of the phenomenon known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, El Niño – the warm phase, La Niña – the cool phase and lastly the neutral phase. During La Niña … Continue reading

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Is there another ‘Beast from the East’ on the way?

There have been many headlines in recent days proclaiming a return of the ‘Beast from the East’ and ‘triple polar vortex to trigger heavy snow’ with bookies reportedly cutting the odds that this month will end as the coldest January … Continue reading

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A weak El Niño is likely

Consensus is growing among scientists from a range of climate centres across the world that a weak El Niño is likely to occur during the coming northern hemisphere winter. Professor Adam Scaife is the head of long-term to decadal climate … Continue reading

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Is La Niña on the way?

During 2015 and 2016, the planet experienced one of the largest El Niño events in a century.  El Niño (Spanish for the boy) is actually the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and climate scientists are now suggesting that … Continue reading

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Another El Niño on the way?

In the waters of the far-eastern equatorial Pacific – close to the South American coast – sea-surface temperatures are beginning to rise, prompting some climate scientists to believe the world could be heading for another El Niño in close succession … Continue reading

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How the moods of the changeable Pacific influences global temperatures

The warm and cool phases of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the tropical Pacific are part of the largest climatic phenomenon on earth with the greatest impact on our weather. Since mid-May 2015 until May 2016, ENSO was … Continue reading

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Met Office predicts slightly above-average Atlantic hurricane season

The Met Office is predicting that the most likely number of tropical storms to form in the Atlantic between June and November will be 14 according to its long-range Atlantic tropical storm forecast for 2016 released today. There is a … Continue reading

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If the world has another record warm year, will everywhere be warmer?

Across the world 2015 was the hottest year on record. When compared with the long-term average between 1850 and 1900, the temperature was around 1C warmer. This increase is mostly the result of long-term warming linked to greenhouse gases, but … Continue reading

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What’s been happening to our weather?

December 2015 will go down in meteorological history as one of the wettest – and warmest – on record. It will also be remembered for the devastating floods in Cumbria, Lancashire, Yorkshire and Scotland. The extensive flooding of homes and … Continue reading

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