Tag Archives: ENSO

Multiple drivers create challenges for forecasting weather direction

How times change. This time last year, we were in the early days of a month which went on to become the wettest February for the UK in a series stretching back to 1862. Storms Ciara, Dennis and Jorge, which … Continue reading

Posted in Met Office News | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Multiple drivers create challenges for forecasting weather direction

Is La Niña on the way?

During 2015 and 2016, the planet experienced one of the largest El Niño events in a century.  El Niño (Spanish for the boy) is actually the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and climate scientists are now suggesting that … Continue reading

Posted in Met Office News | Tagged , , , , , | 5 Comments

How the moods of the changeable Pacific influences global temperatures

The warm and cool phases of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the tropical Pacific are part of the largest climatic phenomenon on earth with the greatest impact on our weather. Since mid-May 2015 until May 2016, ENSO was … Continue reading

Posted in Met Office News | Tagged , , , , , | Comments Off on How the moods of the changeable Pacific influences global temperatures

If the world has another record warm year, will everywhere be warmer?

Across the world 2015 was the hottest year on record. When compared with the long-term average between 1850 and 1900, the temperature was around 1C warmer. This increase is mostly the result of long-term warming linked to greenhouse gases, but … Continue reading

Posted in Met Office News | Tagged , , , , , , | 18 Comments

Predictions of a below average Atlantic hurricane season

The Met Office Atlantic tropical storm forecast for 2015 is for eight tropical storms between June and November, with a 70% chance (the ‘70% range’) that the number will be in the range six to ten. This is below-normal relative … Continue reading

Posted in Met Office News | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

El Niño and its impact on global weather

Forecast centres around the world have now declared that an El Niño, the most powerful fluctuation in our climate system, has begun in the tropical Pacific. For more than a year, scientists have been talking of an increased risk of … Continue reading

Posted in Met Office News | Tagged , , , , , , , | 7 Comments