Will there be a Beast from the East or not?

The indications are that we could see some colder weather next week, but how cold and are we facing another Beast from the East?

It looks like we will start to see a change from the current mild conditions to a colder spell from the middle of next week (w/c 6th Feb), especially for parts of the south and east of England.

High pressure is expected to build and settle over or near to the south of the UK allowing colder air from continental Europe to cross the country. This high-pressure system will act to block the predominantly wet and windy weather from the Atlantic from crossing the UK, resulting in a spell of dry and more settled weather. The north and west of the UK is more likely to retain milder conditions and stay relatively unsettled.

It is most likely this cold spell will be typical of early February, with some frosty nights and colder days, but with daytime temperatures in mid or low single figures, lowest in the south and east.

However, there is a small chance – around 15% – that we may see an even colder, longer-lasting, and more widespread spell of very cold weather with the possibility of some impacts from wintry weather. This scenario is dependent on just where the high-pressure settles in relation to the UK.

At the moment, it looks we will see a gradual return, within just a few days, to milder conditions as wet and windy weather pushes across the country from the north and west. However, if the colder scenario does develop, the return to milder and unsettled weather could be slower for the south and east of the UK.

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