Tag Archives: Probability

What’s the chance of an April shower?

How probability helps our understanding of weather events Springtime in the UK can be fickle. Longer, warmer days create anticipation of summer, yet the extra heat from the sun can fuel the development of clouds leading to April showers. By … Continue reading

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Early results from our record-breaking weather game

Last summer the Met Office launched an online game to understand how best to present probabilities in weather forecasts. Carried out in collaboration with the Universities of Bristol and Cambridge, the game was played more than 11,000 times making it a record-breaking … Continue reading

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Met Office in the Media: 11 November 2011

It is has been a busy week for the Met Office in the media this week.  It started with the broadcast of “Will it Snow?” on BBC2 last weekend. This programme looked at the challenges of forecasting severe weather and explained … Continue reading

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Met Office in the Media: 16 September 2011

The Met Office probability weather game has received positive coverage from around the world after becoming the largest study on the understanding of probabilistic weather forecasts undertaken.  The Washington Post reported on how game players were contributing to the science … Continue reading

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