Tag Archives: Prediction

Should climate models have predicted the pause?

Media coverage today of the launch of the 5th Assessment Report of the IPCC has again said that global warming is “unequivocal” and that the pause in warming over the past 15 years is too short to reflect long-term trends. Over recent … Continue reading

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Using probabilities in weather forecasting

Predicting how the weather will behave over the coming hours, days, weeks and months is a complex undertaking. Each timescale presents its own challenges. In an ideal world, everyone would like us to tell them exactly what the weather will … Continue reading

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