Adam Scaife, one of our leading scientists and honorary visiting professor at University of Exeter, has been awarded the American Geophysical Union’s ASCENT award for research and leadership in atmospheric science. The award recognises Adam who heads the Met Office’s long-range forecast research and production of monthly, seasonal and decadal predictions.
Professor Adam Scaife heads the Met Office’s long-range forecast research.
Adam has published more than 100 peer-reviewed papers on climate dynamics, improving numerical models and long-range predictions and has led numerous international activities, including his current role as co-chair of the WMO World Climate Research Programme’s grand challenge on near-term climate prediction.
Commenting on the award, Adam said: “It’s a great honor to receive the AGU ASCENT Award and the acknowledgement that this implies, and I’m truly delighted.
“I’m also indebted to the Met Office for giving me the chance to pursue a career in atmospheric science, which I think it’s fair to say is one of the most vibrant areas of terrestrial physics.“
The citation for Adam and his response to the AGU can be found here.
Adam’s latest research investigates the link between tropical rainfall and our winter weather. Tropical rainfall is much more predictable than the chaotic variations in northern Europe. However, some of this predictability leaks out into the extratropics – the regions lying beyond the tropics. When it rains in the deep tropics this can trigger global-scale waves in the atmosphere that propagate out into the mid latitudes, imparting seasonal predictability of our winter weather. The research paper is now available online at the Royal Meteorological Society’s website.
Official blog of the Met Office news team 
Well done Adam.
I know that Adam has written some papers on the influence of solar variation upon circulation patterns that have, in my belief, been swept aside.
This is a great disappointment and I leave the reason for this to interpretation. For now.
Solar influence upon circulation pattern are easily confused with chaotic behaviour due to thermal inertia delays and non linearities.
However, solar energy is 99.99% of energy on Earth which places a significance in the nuances of the solar flux.
Circulation patterns are influenced by solar system affects which impose gradients into the thermal transport of energy to the poles.
These days, due to recent availability of polar measurement, unfair precedence is placed upon the poles in an area weighted mean of a non linear function.
This year will come out as being the ‘warmest year on record’ but it is the highest temperature of a set that is ‘apples for apples’, only 30 years long. Before these recent times high resolution polar temperatures were not available.
However, we are all bout to enter 2017, with the El Niño gone, the tropical Pacific neutral or less and the evidence of the last warm period being shrugged off at the poles by increased outgoing long wave radiation as it is now with, according to ESRL.NOAA as I write, the equatorial energy transported poleward is being radiated (as in lost, not trapped) to space. Nothing will be left. The returning high polar overturning rate is producing very cool anomalies and high snow levels. Soon North America will cool and the entire Northern Hemisphere Landmass will have a cool anomaly.
Somehow, ‘greenhouse gases’, are failing to trap this recent peak in surface thermal energy or produce and maintain a flux imbalance as theory would suggest.
It would be fantastic if Adam would answer here and remove conjecture about this opinion.