Is the weather going to be record breaking?

There has been some suggestion that this May could be the hottest ever recorded in the UK.  However, unfortunately, it really is still too early to be sure about the final figures.  The mid month UK statistics (1-15 May 2016) show, that while there has been some warm days and nice spring like weather so far this month, it hasn’t been entirely settled.

Some high temperatures have been recorded with southern and western areas seeing maximum temperatures around 2 °C above average with Plockton (W Scotland) recording 27.7°C and 27°C being reached around London and in Cambridge.

minimum temperature mean temperature sunshine hours precipitation
 1-15 May 2016    Act Anom Act Anom Act Anom Act Anom
  degC degC degC degC hours % mm %
UK 6.3 0.3 11.3 0.9 116.9 63 26.0 37
England 6.9 0.2 12.2 0.9 118.0 62 20.6 35
Wales 7.4 1.0 12.1 1.5 104.1 56 42.6 50
Scotland 4.9 0.2 9.5 0.7 118.6 67 32.0 38
N Ireland 6.3 0.4 11.4 1.2 115.4 63 18.8 26

However, while some parts of the country have had less than half the rainfall expected at this point in the month, parts of the East Midlands and Western Scotland have already had most of their monthly average rainfall.

Rainfall May 2016MaxTemp May 2016

However Deputy Chief Meteorologist Dan Harris said; “The weather is looking rather changeable for the second half of the month, with a predominance of showers or longer spells of rain for most areas. Next week is expected to start off rather cool, and perhaps more settled for many areas than recently, however these settled conditions are unlikely to last and whilst a gradual upturn in temperatures is expected towards the end of the month it will most likely be accompanied by an increase in cloud and rain. Overall, conditions are likely to average out near to normal for this time of year”.

Summer 2016

There has also been some speculation in the media that we are in for a long hot record breaking summer!  However currently the outlook suggests near-normal chances of warm and dry conditions.  Jeff Knight, head of Climate Variability at the Met Office said; “Currently, there are no strong drivers of our weather patterns in the same way El Nino was this winter and spring. This results in fairly well-balanced chances of different kinds of weather this summer. ”

Around the Globe

Looking at the global picture, April was the seventh month in a row to have broken global temperature records.  Figures just released by Nasa show the global land and sea temperature was 1.1C warmer in April than the average temperature for April during the period 1951-1980.

This is in line with the Met Office prediction, back in December, that 2016 will be the hottest year on record, following on from a record breaking 2015.

You can keep up to date with the latest forecast information for your area on our forecast pages, Facebook and Twitter sites and via our Weather App.

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2 Responses to Is the weather going to be record breaking?

  1. xmetman says:

    As far as provisional Central England Temperatures are concerned, May 2016 (by the 20th) although around +2°C above average still only ranked #19 warmest since 1772 in the series.

  2. xmetman says:

    The moderation on your blog is so pitifully slow…

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