Warm November on course to equal record in England

UPDATE – 3 December 2015 – Provisonal full month stats show that November 2015 was the dullest on record

Early provisional statistics* (1- 25 November) show November has been notable for its mild weather.

Overall, temperatures for the UK have been 2.2°C above the November average, with this month on course in England to equal the previous warmest November in 1994 (9.5°C).

The other UK nations have been similarly warm

  • the mean temperature of 9.2°C in Wales currently the second warmest November on record here – behind 1996 (9.4°C)
  • the mean temperature of 6.6°C is currently joint third warmest in Scotland – behind 7.7°C in 2011 and 7.5°C in 1994
  • the mean temperature of 8.0°C in Northern Ireland is currently the fourth warmest on record – behind 8.8°C in 1994, 8.7°C in 2011 and 8.1°C in 2007

Apart from a short but marked cold spell on 21- 23 November there has been an absence of frosts in almost all areas, largely because of a humid, cloudy south-westerly airflow. This has also meant that most areas have seen very little sunshine. Most areas have had typical rainfall amounts for the time of year, but north-west Wales, north-west England and Southern Scotland have had well above average totals. There have also been a number of very windy episodes, including the impact of storms Abigail and Barney.

Of particular note was the temperature of 22.4°C recorded at Trawsgoed in Wales on 1 November and a remarkable overnight temperature of 16.1°C at Murlough in Northern Ireland on 9-10 November.

1-25 Nov mean temperature anomaly 1981-2010

1-25 Nov mean temperature anomaly 1981-2010

1-25 Nov rainfall anomaly 1981-2010

1-25 Nov rainfall anomaly 1981-2010












Parts of southern and central Scotland, the Lake District, Pennines and Snowdonia have had over 150% of their whole-month rainfall average. North-east Scotland and parts of southern and eastern England have had slightly less than would be expected up to this point in the month. South-west Scotland has already had enough rain to make this the 5th wettest November for that region in a series since 1910.

Sunshine has been well below normal with just 33 hours of sunshine up to the 25th across the UK. This means November 2015 is heading toward being the dullest on records going back to 1929 – the dullest currently being 1962 with 39 hours.

1-25 Nov
Mean temp (°C ) Sunshine (hrs) Rainfall (mm)
Actual Diff from
81-10 avg
Actual % of
81-10 avg
Actual % of
81-10 avg
UK 8.4 2.2 33 58 136.4 113
England 9.5 2.6 34 53 93.3 106
Wales 9.2 2.4 33 58 197.4 122
Scotland 6.6 1.6 31 68 192.9 116
N Ireland 8 1.5 37 68 127.2 113

You can find out what the rest of the year has been like on our climate pages.

*Data from the Met Office’s UK digitised records dating back to 1910.

Please note that these provisional figures, especially for rainfall and sunshine, are subject to revision. Anomalies are expressed relative to the 1981-2010 averaging period.

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3 Responses to Warm November on course to equal record in England

  1. xmetman says:

    Interestingly in the Central Temperature Series as it stands at the moment (26 Nov), November 2015 is currently only the 4th warmest (9.7°C) to date, behind 1994, 1938 and 1978.

    What about the astonishing rainfall amounts at Capel Curig isn’t that worth a mention or were you leaving it to me? The total so far this month from the SYNOP observations for Capel Curig stand at 609.6 mm (24.0″) as of 0600 UTC this morning. I still can’t quite believe that total, as Shap in second place have received only 380.4 mm. I don’t have the long-term average rainfall to hand for Capel, but that anomaly must be way in excess of 150%.


    As you know I am well known for being petty and and a bit of an old curmudgeon, but I would have used the terms mild or very mild (rather than warm) when describing temperatures in any Autumn or Winter month.

  2. jbenton2013 says:

    UAH satellite record shows global fall in temperature to end November 2015 despite El Nino. Not looking too good for record warm year evah now. Could be 4th hottest in last 17 years though.

  3. xmetman says:

    I don’t know what the final figures came in for November in the 1910 series, but November 2015 ended up as the joint 3rd warmest (with 1818), behind 1994 and 2011 in the Central England Series.


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