Early Met Office figures for the first half of July show that it has been warmer, drier and sunnier than usual so far this month.
We’ve now had 11 days with temperatures over 28 °C somewhere in the UK, making it the longest hot spell since 2006.
The UK mean temperature up to the 15th July is 16.1 °C, a degree above the long term average for the whole of the month. The days have been particularly warm so far, with the average maximum temperature for the UK being 21.3 °C, 2 degrees above normal.
Rainfall for the UK from 1-15 July was 9.2 mm. At this stage we would expect to have seen about 48 % of the full month average, however we have only seen 12 %. We have seen less than 5 mm widely across much of England and parts of eastern Scotland (many locations with only 1 or 2 mm).
Up to the 15th we have seen 132 hours of sunshine across the UK, which is 77 % of the full month average. Again, we would have expected to have seen about 48% at this point in an ‘average’ month.
Looking at the individual countries, Scotland’s mean temperature has been 14.4 °C (1.2 °C above average) and Northern Ireland’s has been 16.3 °C (1.7 °C above average). England’s has been 17.0 °C (0.7 °C above average), and Wales’ has been 16.3 °C (1.1 °C above average).
Wales had the most sunshine with 155 hours, which is 86 % of the full-month long-term average.
England has seen the least rainfall for the first half of the month with 4.0 mm, just 6 % of the long term July average. Scotland has seen the most rain with 16.8 mm, but even that is only 17 % of the full-month average.
To put this in context, the driest July on record across the UK was in 1955 when there was 30.6 mm of rain. With only 9 mm of rain so far in the UK this July, this is likely to be a very dry month but – with two weeks to go – it’s too early to say where it will end up in the national series dating back to 1910.
For the longer running England and Wales precipitation record which dates back to 1766, the record driest July was in 1825 with just 8 mm of rain. England and Wales have seen just 4 mm so far this month, but – again – it’s too early to judge where it will end up in the records.
With regards to sunshine hours, 1955 is the sunniest July on record with 256 hours of sunshine, with 2006 close behind with 253 hours.
The warmest July on record is 2006 with a UK mean temperature of 17.8 °C; this is also the warmest month in the national record which goes back to 1910.
Mean Temperature | Sunshine hours | Rainfall | ||||
1-15 July | Actual | Diff from Avg | Actual | % of Avg | Actual | % of Avg |
degC | degC | hours | % | mm | % | |
UK | 16.1 | 1 | 132.1 | 77 | 9.2 | 12 |
England | 17 | 0.7 | 147.2 | 76 | 4 | 6 |
Wales | 16.3 | 1.1 | 154.7 | 86 | 8.7 | 9 |
Scotland | 14.4 | 1.2 | 104.1 | 74 | 16.8 | 17 |
N Ireland | 16.3 | 1.7 | 114 | 81 | 15.7 | 19 |
The reason behind this very warm weather is an area of high pressure which has been sitting right above the UK since the start of the month.
This dry weather is in sharp contrast to last year’s wet weather and follows on from a dry June this year.
The Environment Agency measures water resources in England every week to assess how dry the soils are and how much rain they can soak up, the amount of water flowing in rivers, stored below ground in aquifers and above ground in reservoirs, and the outlook for the coming months.
Trevor Bishop, head of water resources at the Environment Agency, said: “Last year’s exceptionally wet summer and autumn has left us in a fairly good water resources position, with most rivers, reservoirs and underground water stores around normal for the time of year. Some river levels are dropping as a result of the hot, dry spell that we are enjoying, and we would urge everyone to continue use water wisely, to protect water supplies and the environment.”
More information can be found in their latest water situation report.
Lovely weather, and, as you said in an earlier post ‘ don’t write off summer yet’. Happy with the reasoning. High pressure during summer months does detach us from global circulation. Good call Met.