Met Office in the Media: 14 November 2011

There have been a number of reports in the media this morning that this ‘November is set to be the warmest on record’. This story is based on figures for temperatures from the Central England Temperature record up to only the 12th of November. Although it is safe to say that we have seen, as forecast by the Met Office, milder conditions so far this November, it is just too early to say if this November will break any records.

Like October, November tends to be a month of contrast. When looking at climatology the end of the month tends to being significantly cooler than the beginning. Typically maximum temperatures range from 7 to 12 degrees C in the first 10 days compared to 5 to 10 degrees C in the last 12 days of November.  Therefore it is not unusual to see a milder start when figures are compared to the month as a whole.

When it comes to climate statistics it is important to make sure that you are comparing like with like. As the National Weather Service for the UK, having responsibility for the national climate record we take our role seriously and ensure that when comparisons are made these are based on the best science and information available. Although these reports are based on our data, the interpretation is not that of the Met Office.

As we head through the rest of the month we will provide information as it becomes available. You can find daily weather information and weather forecasts up to 30 days ahead on the Met Office website.

 

 

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5 Responses to Met Office in the Media: 14 November 2011

  1. geologygeek says:

    Don’t suppose you know of a plot or list anywhere detailing the number of ‘record’ months in a year? Had a cursory look around your site, but my Google-fu is failing me.

    • Dave Britton says:

      Sorry mate, I am not too sure I understand the question. Are you looking to know how many months this year have been the warmest for each of those months in turn? You can find out individual monthly summaries on our website at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/2011/ Hope this helps. DB

      • geologygeek says:

        Sorry, I wasn’t very clear 😀

        I meant is there anywhere that presents data on the frequency of ‘record hot’ or ‘record wet’ months in a given year? So, lets say Year A has 1 record hot month in it (the hottest January since records began, for example), Year B has no record months, and Year C has 3 record months (the hottest February and June, as well as a new hottest January).

      • Dave Britton says:

        NO, this is not somehting that we have looked at, however here is a list of the warmest months in the series going back to 1910. Hope this is useful

        JAN 6.3 1916
        FEB 6.8 1998
        MAR 8.0 1938
        APR 10.7 2011
        MAY 12.2 2008
        JUN 15.0 1976
        JUL 17.8 2006
        AUG 17.3 1995
        SEP 15.2 2006
        OCT 12.2 2001
        NOV 8.8 1994
        DEC 6.9 1934

  2. pkthinks says:

    A good discussion of how significant (in the context of climate change) the cold of 2010 v the warmth of 2011 when we have the figures

    Some of us experienced record cold conditions this time last year. Does anyone know if there is divergence between the CET and more northerly temperatures? as we did not have such a warm season and although we are colder usually there has been a big difference in recent years

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