There have been a number of reports in the media this morning that this ‘November is set to be the warmest on record’. This story is based on figures for temperatures from the Central England Temperature record up to only the 12th of November. Although it is safe to say that we have seen, as forecast by the Met Office, milder conditions so far this November, it is just too early to say if this November will break any records.
Like October, November tends to be a month of contrast. When looking at climatology the end of the month tends to being significantly cooler than the beginning. Typically maximum temperatures range from 7 to 12 degrees C in the first 10 days compared to 5 to 10 degrees C in the last 12 days of November. Therefore it is not unusual to see a milder start when figures are compared to the month as a whole.
When it comes to climate statistics it is important to make sure that you are comparing like with like. As the National Weather Service for the UK, having responsibility for the national climate record we take our role seriously and ensure that when comparisons are made these are based on the best science and information available. Although these reports are based on our data, the interpretation is not that of the Met Office.
As we head through the rest of the month we will provide information as it becomes available. You can find daily weather information and weather forecasts up to 30 days ahead on the Met Office website.
- November on course for being warmest since records began (telegraph.co.uk)
- You: UK on course for mildest November in 300 years (guardian.co.uk)