There has been some stories in the media today about some fine weather expected over the coming weekend. Some of these stories have suggested that we are going to see a heatwave or even that October will be warmer than summer. This is simply not the case
- T-shirt time! Freak heatwave to hit Britain this weekend – as forecasters say this October will be hotter than summer (Daily Mail)
- Get ready for the last of the summer sun (The Sun)
Most of England and Wales will have a sunny day on Saturday although northwestern areas will be cloudier with rain across parts of Northern Ireland and Scotland. Temperatures will be between 16 to 18 Celsius across the UK, and although rather mild, this is far from a heatwave. We have already seen temperatures in excess of 20 deg C every day this week and therefore the weekend looks a little cooler than previous days.
Other reports have also suggested that forecasters are saying October will be warmer than the summer. Again, this is just not the case. It would be correct to say that we have seen a very mild start to October with the warmest October day ever recorded on 1st October when Gravesend reached 29.9 C. However this does not compare with the 33.1 Celsius that was recorded on 27 June 2011
We are not even half way through the month and the Met Office have not complied any national weather statistics for the month yet. It is just not possible to compare one month with the three months of Summer, especially when the month is not complete.
Elsewhere, the Economist has reported on the ground-breaking science from the Met Office that identifies a link between solar UV output and cold winters in parts of Europe and North America.