The heavy showers affecting much of the country are continuing to generate media interest across the UK. The Scotsman reported that July’s average rain falls in a day in parts of Perth and this was not the only location to see such heavy rainfall. Hawarden Airport, Flintshire recorded 68.2 mm of rain in 24 hours ending on Wednesday morning, making it the second wettest day on record at this site. Throughout this spell of rather wet weather we have been working hard, together with our colleagues at the Environment Agency, through the Flood Forecasting Centre to make sure that emergency services and planners were fully aware of the potential of heavy rainfall and its associated flooding.
Following comments yesterday that there was potential of a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico, the BBC report that experts are considering whether a possible tropical storm could disrupt work at the site of the BP oil spill.
In his latest blog Paul Hudson questions whether 2010 will be hotter than the hottest year on record now that we have seen the decline in El Nino across the equatorial Pacific. In his blog he claims the 2010 El Nino is comparable to the one in 1997/98 which contributed in the record global average temperatures that year. This is certainly not the case. The recent El Nino is weaker than that in 1997/8 by a considerable margin and so this alone does not explain the very high global temperature observed so far in 2010. They key point of news here is that 2010 is currently running at the highest on record in NCDC and GISS global temperature datasets and close to the highest in our own dataset. This is all consistent with our prediction from 2009 that “2010 is more likely than not to be the warmest on record”.